May 5, 2008
Growing Your Business: The Silver Lining to $5.00 Gasoline
I am angry. The price of gas has really got my goat. Every time we fill up the car…well, I don't have to go into it because all of us are in the same situation, and we all know how painful it is to fill our tanks.
Rather than complaining and moaning and groaning, I've been thinking that maybe it's not all bad that gasoline prices have skyrocketed. I'm not saying that it's not bad in the short run for those of us who have to write the checks to pay for the gas. I mean that it will be good for us in the end — for the health of the United States economy, and the world in general.
Americans are among the most creative people in the world. We are people who find solutions to problems that are enormously complex. And we're going to find a solution to the gasoline crisis too. At $2.00 a gallon, nobody was very motivated to solve the problem of congestion on the freeways, or the environmental problems caused by automobiles. At $3.00, people are somewhat more inconvenienced. At $4.00, people are starting to scream. But my prediction has always been that at $5.00 a gallon, real change is going to take place in this economy — the kind of change that actually could bring the price of transportation down in the long run.
As prices go higher, people are going to act smarter. Get ready for a new way of thinking. Get ready for a new paradigm.
People are going to start carpooling to work and to other places that they go — even if it is somewhat inconvenient. People will start to bundle their trips. In other words, instead of going to downtown two times on two different days, they're going to combine their activities so they go one time and kill two birds with one stone. Companies will mandate four day work weeks. People will try to move closer to their jobs. People will lean on the Internet more than ever.
Entrepreneurs and companies of all kinds will start putting out alternate fuels, biodiesel cars, and other types of transportation methodologies that haven't existed before. With low gas prices, there wasn't any incentive to invent and drive change. But at $5.00 a gallon, all sorts of alternatives will begin to emerge. The entrepreneurial flame will burn brightly.
The promise of telecommuting will become a reality because people simply won't want to drive. And the good news is that our financially overburdened governments will have less pressure to build more roads. Cars will shrink in size and the number of cars on the roads will begin to disappear from our transportation system.
What about Exxon Mobil, Conoco Phillips (Unocal), Chevron, British Petroleum and the other oil companies?
I never begrudge any company from maximizing profits. But at $5.00 a gallon, people will buy less gas once they start taking the drastic measures. Lack of supply seems to be contributing to our high prices. Conversely, lower demand will reduce prices. This means that there will be less profits.
Once again, the old business school story will apply. "If the train companies had seen themselves in the transportation business, then they would have owned the airlines." The oil companies need to position themselves as leaders in the energy business — and they have to do it for real. Not with a lot of lip service and TV commercials.
We voluntarily should have taken these actions starting in 1973 with the oil embargo, but unfortunately we didn't learn a lot from that terrible experience. Instead, we have pointed the finger at Detroit. We wanted General Motors, Ford and Chrysler to fix our problem by delivering us cars with better fuel economy. But it's not Detroit's job to solve the problem. Certainly if Detroit wants to stay in the car business they're going to contribute to the solution. There is a lot of financial gain available to Detroit by contributing to the solution. It is in the interest of the car makers to cooperate with the energy companies and to share the burden with consumers.
But overall, we (consumers, business owners, our governments and citizens in general) have to take responsibility for solving the gasoline crisis that is gripping our country. Now that the price of gas has become so extraordinary — making the amount of transportation costs huge as a percentage of our overall budgets – citizens will take matters into their own hands. This is when we're really going to see some significant change. Every time Americans have been fed up, we initiate change that is great. This time the revolution will not be about overthrowing a government, but it will be about reorganizing our lifestyle choices for a better America.
We may be in for some tough times in the near-term, but the long term will be so much better for all of us. We just have to manage the months ahead.
Rest assured that although paying $5.00 a gallon, which isn't very far away, is going to be terrible, the average cost per passenger to move about is actually going to come down. That is because of changes in our behavior, and changes in our expectations from our government, from our manufacturers, and from ourselves. Taking personal responsibility will make this problem go away.
I have many ideas about promoting alternatives and repositioning these critical assets. Future blog entries may reveal them, but for now, comments are welcome as are inquiries from the companies mentioned in this essay.
About Joel G. Block
Well known in the business community, Joel Block is a best selling author, speaker, and business strategist. Frequently a principal in his transactions, Joel has raised tens of millions of equity dollars for his ventures, which have included real estate syndications and privately held businesses.
Joel’s career is highlighted by the launch of a financial publishing company which he grew nationwide and later sold to the Los Angeles Times. More recently, Joel works with scientists, engineers, technologists and others to help them optimize their entrepreneurial opportunities. Would you like to get a private phone consultation with Joel? Visit www.joelblock.com/capital for details.
Go Out And Stake Your Claim!

P.S. To discover how to gain capital to grow your business exponentially
please click here ==> Business Capital Movies
Trackback uri
http://www.joelblock.com/blog/113/growing-your-business-the-silver-lining-to-500-gasoline/trackback/



7 Comments »
May 5, 2008
Michael Angier said:
I couldn't agree more, Joel.
I think The President should state a goal of being energy self-sufficient by 2012 just like Kennedy did with the Space Program of putting a man on the Moon by 1970.
We can do it.
We MUST do it.
Good Blog Post!
May 5, 2008
Growing Your Business: The Silver Lining to $5.00 Gasoline | Computer Tips, News and FREE Support (Pingback)
[…] I've been thinking that maybe it's not all bad that gasoline prices have skyrocketed.read more | digg story Add to […]
May 5, 2008
kaekoa said:
Being someone who drives more often than I'd like, I can attest that I've been carpooling much more lately, and I can see how the gas crisis will encourage people to be creative.
I just hope you're right that it will be positive in the end.
Thanks for the good read.
May 5, 2008
Man With All The Answers said:
very good post and this does relate to your business in so many ways its not funny.
I think there is a depression coming in 2009
lets see what happen from now to the end of the year though.
May 6, 2008
mr autopilot said:
Love your optimism, inovation is beginning to happen as we speak.
This is good because I think we are headed to $6+ a gallon, oh my.
Think you are correct about folks heading online to save time, learn
and grow incomes w/out having to travel.
May 16, 2008
George Bower said:
I hear everyone's pain and anger regarding high gasoline prices. We need to keep some perspective on this no matter how painful. First, the evil oil companies don't set the price for the most part. Not even the evil OPEC people set the price. That is done on the world market; global supply, global demand.
We are facing a special situation that is more than half government (include here, city, county, state and federal US) government caused. The other half is higher than historical demand. No there isn't a shortage. No we are not out of conventional, let alone shale oil. We don't really need biofuels with the sometime exception that biodiesel does help to buffer and reduce the sulfur content of diesel fuel.
Pricing factors:
#1 government. Our European friends pay twice what we do at the pump because of taxes. Federal, state and local governments, mostly state governments dump vast irresponsible taxes on gasoline, diesel and anything that is fashionable. Government is the problem not the solution.
Most states charge a lifting tax, a tax on production from state owned resources. These taxes range from reasonable, 4% to 6% to outrageous, Arabia, 51%, Louisiana, 25% etc. We get to pay this cost later.
Then there is the next issue called the weak dollar. We are in a war we didn't start. There is a war premium charged to the dollar of, historically, 15%. We get to pay that for everything. Our current administration has sought a cheap dollar to boost exports. I don't know if it has helped in the long run. Most of those exports would go anyway. There is a marvelous body of thinking that I don't exactly comprehend behind currency management. If we had a strong dollar policy, (Euro parity), we would be paying $70 instead of $125 per barrel.
#2 Integrated oil. While the global bid markets do set the spot price, it still costs me $7 per barrel to extract primary production and $22 per barrel with expensive secondary recovery methods. That is me. I don't own refineries, pipelines, or retail and wholesale distribution. As a result, I get the contract (if I am lucky and smart) or the spot price for my oil, less transportation and local state taxes. Integrated oil companies charge their internal refineries the spot market price for their $ 8 - $30 oil. The refineries then charge the distribution system the spot price for refined fuels etc. There is some argument against the integrated oil companies as they make their profits at several stages (including owning their own transportation). Darn their business acumen!
#3 Declining supply. The cheap oil, $60,000 for a well drilled to 300 feet, is gone.Expensive, off shore deep oil is abundant. Oil shale is abundant. Earlier I mentioned secondary recovery, that is pumping a mix of water and solvent into the ground to dissolve additional oil out of the sand or shale. It works but costs 3 to 5 times as much as just pumping free running product. In California, we melt the oil (tar) out of the ground. This also costs a lot. Shale is strip-mined and then melted and then processed. Still, at a given price, it is worth while. We still have several hundred years of conventional petroleum in North America but it is expensive.
#4 Being American. You love your SUV. You pay for your SUV. Alternative fuel approaches are not going to work and we are breaking the back of poor countries with our ridiculous ethanol edicts (see government above). Ethanol is a poor answer. It can't be transported or stored because it absorbs water. Dupont has perfected a product called butanol. Remember you get one third the energy from ethanol that you get from heptane (87 octane). It still doesn't work. If we would be reasonable about our SUV's things would be better but what the heck.
#5 New technologies etc. There are some out there. I like hybrids but they are fifteen years away still. Oil from coal is terrific, oil shale is terrific. Deep oil is terrific. Perhaps some replacement for the internal combustion engine (I have such) will help resolve its inefficiency. Recall that even with a hybrid, you still have an internal combustion engine.
So cheer up! Live a little. Raise your billing rate (I have). We will get through this if we can learn to #1 buy American cars. Manufacture our own products again Trade works when it is balanced. We must learn to work again.
June 2, 2008
RJ Miler said:
G. B. you have a really clear sense of what all the fuss is about. But I think the higher the fuel becomes here in the US, the more incentive there will be to do away with the disequalibrium many of feeling. But you state some very important facts that the average person does not want to hear, because it does away with the simple answers.
Way to go!
Peace be upon everyone always
RJ